From Seventies to Snow?

Oct 28, 2014
Posted by Austin

Northeast Oct 28th High Temperatures

It’s beginning to be that time of year in the northeast where Fall has peaked, the leaves have mostly fallen and we start to see the possibility of the first snowfall of the season on the horizon. After a seasonably cool Summer it has been a relatively warm Fall. Today high’s across the northeast were primarily in the 60’s and 70’s. Here in the Hudson Valley we reached the mid 70’s!

However, looking at the weather models it appears the northeast may have its first shot at a wintery mix Friday night through Saturday.

Summary

The latest weather models indicate that the surface temperatures across the northeast are only expected to dip below freezing in isolated areas overnight Friday into Saturday, but frozen precipitation could be supported at upper levels. Moisture will be the big question. The 18Z GFS shows only scattered precipitation through 12Z November 1st. Any overnight precipitation is expected to be light with rain changing to snow mainly in high terrain. Since the ground is still warm and the surface temperatures will be mostly above freezing I would not expect any significant snow accumulation. Higher terrain may see a dusting to 1″ which should melt by Saturday evening in most places.

Surface Temperatures and 1000-500mb Thickness

The following images are the surface temperatures from the 18Z GFS model run. The 1000-500mb thickness isopleths are used as a guideline for determining the rain/snow line. The 5400m thickness line (sometimes also called the 540 line) generally indicates the separation between the mid-latitude and polar air masses.

[one_fourth]

GFS 90hr 0Z Nov 1st 2m temp and 1000-500mb

Nov 1st 0Z

[/one_fourth][one_fourth]

Nov 1st 6Z

[/one_fourth]

[one_fourth]

Nov 1st 12Z

[/one_fourth][one_fourth_last]

GFS 90hr 18Z Nov 1st 2m temp and 1000-500mb

Nov 1st 18Z

[/one_fourth_last]

Mean Sea Level Pressure and Quantitative 6-hour Precipitation

[one_fourth]

Nov 1st 0Z

 

[/one_fourth][one_fourth]

Nov 1st 3Z

[/one_fourth]

[one_fourth]

Nov 1st 6Z

[/one_fourth][one_fourth_last]

Nov 1st 9Z

[/one_fourth_last]

[one_fourth]

Nov 1st 12Z

 

[/one_fourth][one_fourth]

Nov 1st 15Z

[/one_fourth]

[one_fourth]

Nov 1st 18Z

[/one_fourth][one_fourth_last]

Nov 1st 21Z

[/one_fourth_last]

 

  1. Austin
    Austin

    Thursday Update: The rain/snow line previously expected to drop south of the Northeast on Saturday is now not forecast to descend through the region until early Sunday morning.

    This means any precipitation to fall Friday through Saturday is likely to be rain across the majority of New York and New England.

    Some scattered snow showers are still possible on Sunday, more so in higher elevations like the Hudson Highlands, Taconics, Berkshires, Green Mountains and White Mountains. Chances remain low 20-40% for even 1 inch 24-hour accumulation by Monday morning.

    Subscribe to this blog to continue to receive updates to this potential weather. Like my page on Facebook or follow me on Twiiter to stay up-to-date on the latest weather developments (social media buttons at the top of the right hand side column).

Pricing

Website design and development rate is $50/hour. The scope and complexity of your website requirements will determine the overall cost. Please use the contact form below to reach out to us so we can evaluate your website needs and provide an estimate. 

To give you an idea of what an average website might cost:

  • A simple, single-page WordPress website with up to 5 sections will take about 5-8 hours ($250-$400).
  • A more complex website with multiple pages could take closer to 10-12 hours ($500-$600). 
  • A website that requires multiple pages and high levels of visitor interaction (such as memberships, forums, messaging, etc) could take more than 20 hours ($1000+) depending on the scope of the project. 

Virtual Customer Service & Social Media

Virtual customer service and social media management is billed hourly at $25/hour and invoiced monthly. We will work with you to establish budget limits so you’re not surprised at the end of the month by a large bill.

Managed Hosting and On-Going Support​

Minimum
$5/moYearly ($45)
Hosting
Updates
Uptime Monitoring
 
 
 
 
 
 
$50/hr Restoration/Recovery
$50/hr Migration Assist
 
Basic
$15/moYearly ($135)
Hosting
Updates
Uptime Monitoring
Daily Security Scans
Blacklist Monitoring
Audit Logging
 
 
Monthly Traffic Report
$50/hr Restoration/Recovery
$50/hr Migration Assist
Monthly Cloud Backups
Premium
$30/moYearly ($270)
Hosting
Updates
Uptime Monitoring
Daily Security Scans
Blacklist Monitoring
Audit Logging
Suspicious IP Lockouts
Image Optimization
Daily Traffic Report
Free Restoration/Recovery
Free Migration Assist
Daily Cloud Backups

Visit Us On TwitterVisit Us On Facebook